Developments in monthly and seasonal forecasting
Expectation in Seasonal Forecasting
Key Points
Boundary Conditions
The AGCM “two-tier” System
Long-range forecast products
Verification of a site specific forecast
Wet Autumn 2000 UK
Forecast skill
Forecast and observed precip. differences JJA87-JJA88
GloSea Model
PPT Slide
GloSea Nino3 SST
Achievements in monthly and seasonal forecasting
The Met Office Joint Venture to facilitate a European weather derivatives market
Summary and Outlook
On the Website www.metoffice.com/research/seasonal follow “link for NMSs” email: seasonal@metoffice.com
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Email: bernd.becker@metoffice.com
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