News titles, 22-29/6/02
 

The most significant item in what follows may be the resignation of former General Wayne Downing, author of the 'Downing Plan' for taking out the Iraqi
government quickly and cheaply. His dissatisfaction suggests that the
Rumsfeld/Wolfowitz faction isn't doing quite as well as we have been led to
believe. Otherwise its all business much as usual. Two raids in the No Fly
Zones and the incompetent propaganda piece by John Sweeney (I call it
incompetent even though it may have been effective among people who don't
think very much. But if he wanted to make a strong case against Saddam
Hussein's government he could have done better working his way through
articles that have been posted over the past two years in the present
mailing list. I think I could have done better without stirring from my
computer screen)
 

News, 22-29/6/02 (1)

ENFORCING THE BLOCKADE

* [Australian] Navy ship heads for terror duty [The interception of fishing
boats smuggling dates out of Iraq is now being described as an essential
part of the War against Terror.]
*  Iraq Slams Turkey for Extending Mandate for U.S.-British Forces
*  Western warplanes hit Iraqi air defences [27th June]
*  U.S. planes attack Iraqi command center [28th June. This is an attack on
the southern zone, where the previous one was an attack on the northern
zone, so we may assume thay are different attacks. Yet here it is stated
that 'The last U.S. attack was on June 20']
*  Iraq Says One Civilian Hurt in Western Air Raid
*  US says Iran no longer helping Iraq smuggle oil

INSIDE IRAQ

*  How Saddam 'staged' fake baby funerals [This article, from John Sweeney
in The Observer,  has been much circulated and discussed on the list. See in
particular the excellent mediaLens posting from Katy Connell on 28th June.
The article is only included here for the record. One small observation,
though, on the subject of mass funerals of babies. Though they have
certainly taken place, they're hardly an important part of the international
campaign. In two years of producing this news mailing I don't remember a
single article on the subject. I did a quick search on the word 'funeral'
and the only reference I could find to mass funerals of babies was in an
article by Robert Fisk ('These children had cancer. Now they are dead. I
believe they were killed by depleted uranium' Independent, 10 January 2001:
Depleted Uranium Supplement, 19/12/00­14/1/01.). Fisk, who, we imagine, is
on our side in these matters, dismissed the funerals as Iraqi government
propaganda but says that this does not change the fact that large numbers of
real children are dying.]
*  Saddam's moment of truth [Iraqi election on October 15th]
*  Sayyed Muhammad Taqi al-Hakim [Times obituary for leading Iraqi Shi'i
jurist.]

IRAQIS OUTSIDE IRAQ

*  35 Australia Asylum Seekers Break Out

IRAQI/MIDDLE EASTERN-ARAB WORLD RELATIONS

*  Iraq, Iran set timetable for repatriation of refugees
*  Iraq's culture minister to visit Iran
*  Iraq protests to UN at Iran truce breaches
*  Iraqi's message welcomed in Sidon [Lebanon] after marathon walk

URL ONLY:
http://www.gulf-news.com/Articles/news.asp?ArticleID=55538
*  UAE 'has most liberal economic system'
by Nadim Kawach
Gulf News, 25th June
[According to the Index of Economic Freedom. The UAE ranks 23rd out of 156
countries. Iraq ranks 155th. But is it mentioned that under the system
imposed by the US and its allies, all Iraq's oil revenue is given in lump
sums to the Iraqi government which is only allowed to spend it on items
approved by a UN committee made up of its enemies, which will not allow
expenditure on any internal Iraqi economic activity. This doesn't exactly
make for the development of an economic life free of government control,
does it?]

NEW WORLD ORDER

*  UN urged to oppose US immunity [The US proposal isn't quite as ridiculous
as it appears, if this account is to be believed. It calls for a 'blanket
protection from prosecution by the court for all personnel taking part in
all UN operations.' 'UN operations' presumably means operations approved by
the Security Council which is under the malignant spell of the Permanent
Members' veto. But in theory, keeping to the terms of this report, US troops
would still be liable for prosecution for actions taken outside the UN
framework, eg during the war on Serbia, which didn't have UNSC backing (nor,
I believe, did the war on Afghanistan). My own instinct would be to accept
this exemption, but work for a tighter definition of what constitutes a 'UN
operation'; and for a strict internal UN disciplinary procedure.]
*  Belgian court rejects war-crimes case vs. Israel's Sharon [While it might
have been satisfying to see Ariel Sharon arraigned for war crimes, the
ambition of national courts to obtain international jurisdiction is
ridiculous and deserves to be squashed. It may be noted that the basis for
this judgement is not that AS didn't commit war crimes, but that he doesn't
live in Belgium.]
*  Two world orders [Useful summary of the New World Order which is being
constructed, in which 'The new supreme power has substituted the "rule of
law" by a doctrine of "ruling above the law".' The only cavil being with the
idea that things have changed, that the US behaved any differently in
Vietnam, Laos or Cambodia.]
*  A time for dissent in America [Refers to an article in the current
edition of the US journal Foreign Policy by Immanuel Wallerstein advancing
the interesting case that US power is still in decline following its defeat
by the Vietnamese in 1970: 'We look best, he declares, when we attack
countries without armies, triumphing in Panama and Grenada.']

URLs ONLY:
http://www.dailystar.com.lb/27_06_02/art19.asp
*  Murky machinations in US dragnet for Al-Qaeda
by Ed Blanche
The Daily Star, Lebanon
[Nothing much to do with Iraq but quite an interesting roundup of the
success or lack of it so far in rounding up al-Qaida.]

http://www.dailystar.com.lb/27_06_02/art20.asp
*  Will US think tanks hatch a viable Mideast peace?
by George S. Hishmeh
The Daily Star, Lebanon, 27th June
[Account of new 'think tank' on the Middle East - the Saban centre for
Middle East Policy in the Brookings Institute, headed by a pro-Israeli
lobbyist, Martin Indyk but claiming to represent a balanced, middle of the
road approach towards such issues as - er - organising a post-Saddam Iraq.]

OIL POLITICS

*  Opec job likely to stay with Venezuela [One of the reasons for the
attempt to overthrow Hugo Chavez was the US hope that Venezuela (like Kuwait
in 1989/90) would break OPEC oil quotas. It seems that even with the return
of Chavez this hope is still alive - one of the arguments being that
Venezuela must increase production to make up for what was lost during the
strike!]
*  France Wants End to Iraqi Oil Policy [Includes quite a clear account of
the present problems over oil pricing. the French proposal is another way of
exercising discipline over Iraq without disrupting the market.]
*  OPEC to hold steady on oil output
*  DJ. UN Panel Approves Iraq Oil Prices For Europe, June 1-15
*  OPEC has new leader, plan


AND, IN NEWS, 22-29/6/02 (2)

PROSPECTS FOR PEACE

*  By invading Iraq, America will lose the war on terror [A brief column
piece. Scott Ritter is quoted - approvingly - as saying: "When America
becomes the arrogant, international bully, we will lose the world on this."
Which is fine, but the process described has already occurred. The problem
is how to turn 'the world' into an effective political force.]
*  Peace has to remain an option [A good summary of the run-up to war so
far, concentrating the attention on the dismissal of Jose Bustani, with his
proposal for international rather than US controlled weapons inspections in
Iraq.]
*  Bush warned against hasty action on Iraq [Anxieties G.Bush doesn't have
to worry about from Britain; and anxieties he does have to worry about from
Congress]
*  No reason behind Iraq attack [Refers to an article in the Wall Street
Journal by Khidr Hamza, reminiscing about how, back in the 1980s, he had
been working on a dirty bomb. The present article is strong on the contrast
between the anti-Iraq rhetoric and the lack of any real evidence that Iraq
poses a danger. Which is fine but of course it can easily be construed as an
argument for maintaining sanctions (which keep Iraq in the desired position
of powerlessness).]
*  White House hawk [General Wayne Downing ] on Saddam quits
*  Anti-terror chief quits after being 'ignored' [Extract]

PROSPECTS FOR WAR

*  Sighting in on Saddam [This purports to be the background story behind
G.Bush's determination to go after Iraq, the switch from Colin Powell to
Donald Rumsfeld. It more or less follows the course of the media reporting
on the affair - a rash of articles on defectors' tales of WMDs and contacts
with al-Qaida, followed by a sort of hangover in which second thoughts
appear. Except that, according to the article, the decisions made before the
second thoughts began to appear still stand. One assumes however that the US
administration is less subject than this implies to the vagaries of the
media and that it has its own agenda to pursue. Which it isn't going to
share with us.]
*  Spooks vs. Saddam [A rather strange article from J.Hoagland saying that
the CIA aren't any good at sneaky operations and shouldn't do them. They
should only operate in support of outfront, honest activities such as
massive bombing campaigns which have public support. The article seems to
suggest that 'recruiting an Iraqi general to put a bullet in the brain of
Saddam Hussein or ... mounting any other successful covert operation that
would avoid a U.S. invasion of Iraq' falls into the category of sneaky
activities. Mr Hoagland wants lots of ass to be kicked and to be seen to be
kicked.]
* Gulf War Lessons for the Bush Administration [This article appears to be
proposing a brilliant strategy for taking out the Iraqi government without
deploying thousands of US troops or killing thousands of Iraqis. The essence
of the thing appears to be to air-drop large numbers of troops into the
middle of Iraq, thus cutting Baghdad off from the borders. But I don't feel
I've quite grasped it yet.]
*  US near appointment of Iraq envoy [to Iraqi opposition. Opposition
elements who want to deal with the US should note the respect in which they
are held: 'US officials contend that dealing with the opposition is - in the
words of one - like ''herding cats''']
*  American reinforcement in Turkey for striking Iraq; Baghdad: dialogue
with the UN will not bring back the inspectors [The article quotes a Turkish
daily newspaper as saying: 'following its decision to start military
operations against Baghdad during the two next month ... the number of US
troopers in Turkey will be increased from 7,000 to 25,000 during July.']



News titles, 29/6-6/7/02

I am finding some difficulty in understanding why so many of those who
supported the war on Serbia seem to be opposed to the war on Iraq. What are
the differences between Slobodan Milosevic and Saddam Hussein? Well, chiefly
that Mr Milosevic was democratically elected and was engaged in a war
against a terrorist campaign taking place in what is still recognised as
being legally part of Serbia. His treatment of ethnic Albanians certainly
wasn't any worse than Mr Hussein's treatment of the Kurds (which hasn't been
much worse than the Turks' treatment of the Kurds, but that's another
matter). In fact, prior to the actual launching of the war, any comparison
between the two is really outrageous. The 'Racak massacre' which provided
the pretext for the war was small beer compared to the massacres the US have
been engaging in in Afghanistan (and the dispute, civilian or terrorist?
Greatly resembles the dispute over the latest wedding party massacre). Large
sections of European and British opinion need to be told: if the bombing of
Serbia was justified then there's nothing to be said against the bombing of
Iraq; if the bombing of Iraq is wrong, then there's nothing to be said in
favour of the bombing of Serbia.

That having been said, the most depressing piece of news in what follows is
to be found in the International section - 'Eritrea eager for U.S. military
partnership'. Perhaps the breakdown of the talks on weapons inspections is
also depressing but it was predictable. Kofi Annan is not a man of moral
courage and was not in a position to offer the terms under which a return of
the weapons inspectors would have been acceptable. But the whole thing is
farcical since it is perfectly obvious that with the blockade in place
around Iraq it is virtually impossible that any substantial quantities of
material for weapons of mass destruction could be getting in. Even when the
inspectors were there all their work turned round old stocks not new
material. As a pretext for war the problem of 'eapons of mass destruction is
not so much a fig leaf as a magnifying glass ...
 

News, 29/6-6/7/02 (1)

FINGER POINTING AT IRAQ

*  Israel's submarine menace raises stakes {Details of the latest stage in
Israel's US approved Weapons of Mass Destruction programme. The article ends
with a little piece on Iraq's WMD capacity in 1990/1 which is all that is
given here, but the rest of it is interesting for those who like that sort
of thing.]
*  The real case against Saddam [New York Post. Quotes Jesse Helms' 'former
chief Iraq staffer', Danielle Pletka as saying: "Nobody credible makes the
case that there's some connection between Saddam Hussein and what happened
Sept. 11." So much for William Safire et al. Goes on to say that there is
nonetheless a demonstrably true case for overthrowing Saddam Hussein. It
comes in 4 points. Of these, the first (that Saddam Hussein is clearly evil
and reckless) could equally be applied to any US President one might care to
name (one would like to make an exception of Carter but he did have Zbigniew
Brzezinski for his Secretary of State). The second point - that he is trying
to get weapons of mass destruction - has turned out to be as difficult to
prove as the connection with Sept 11 (though it is not difficult to prove
that Israel is chock a block with them). Only the last two points are
demonstrably true: that Iraq is potentially a very strong nation, and that
current US policy is unravelling.]
*  Iraq using new mobile missile launchers: Jane's [At last, solid proof of
Iraq's aggressive intentions]
*  A shameful attack [Mark Seddon of Tribune criticises John Sweeney's
Mother of All Ironies programme. Unfortunately he rather leaves the
impression that he thought he could control the content of the programme
through the privileged position he occupies as the person who can get
reporters into Iraq; and is rather miffed that he found he couldn't. Not the
best critique that could have been made of the programme (that was made by
MediaLens, circulated to list by Katy Connell on 24th June)]
*  BBC was fair on Iraq [Letter in reply to above from Mark Damazer, Deputy
director, BBC News]

IRAQI LIFE AND CULTURE

*  Iraqi President Discharges 3 Elderly Ministers
*  Baghdad slams UNESCO over World Heritage List
*  Diverse Iraqi painting revealed in all its richness

IRAQI/INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS (South Africa, Pakistan, India, Czech
Republic, Europe, Eritrea, Russia)

*  Iraqi Deputy Minister Visits SA
*  Baghdad accepts 31,000 tons wheat
*  India's FICCI [Federation of Indian Chambers of Commerce and Industry] to
send delegation to Iraq
*  Iraq denounces the Free Europe radio
*  EU approves aid package to Iraq [Curious little item that perhaps hasn't
attracted the attention it deserves. Given that we are told the problem does
not lie in access to (imported) food and medicines but in infrastructure, is
that what the European proposal addresses?]
*  Eritrea eager for U.S. military partnership [It is deeply distressing to
see Eritrea which, some years ago, appeared to me at least to be a beacon to
the world, apparently offering to turn itself into a US aircraft carrier:
'Eritrea could also serve a launching point for a future attack on Iraq,
Asmerom (Eritrean ambassador to the US) said.'
*  Iraqi Ambassador Talks the Talk [Abbas Khalaf, Iraq's new ambassador to
Moscow.]

NORTHERN IRAQ/SOUTHERN KURDISTAN

*  Kurds grit teeth for US strike [The thesis is that the Kurds don't want
to go to war but will be obliged to do so by the Americans. At present,
they're happy because they can drink, women don't have to wear the veil, and
they get a monthly food basket, though there is still a lot of poverty.
Sounds a bit like the rest of Iraq.]
*  Restaurant Explosion Injures 20 in Kurdish-run northern Iraq
*  '88 gassing still killing Iraqi Kurds [John Sweeney, in one of his
exchanges with anti-sanctions campaigners, suggested we should go to
Halabja. I've seeen no sign that Mr Sweeney has ever been to Halabja but
this article is by someone who has, and he finds it disgracefully neglected
by the 'international community' (and by implication the Kurdish
authorities). Long-term after effects of the 1988 chemical attack haven't
been properly researched, partly for fear of the consequences for the
Western firms that supplied the chemicals. The US is willing to use Halabja
for propaganda purposes but will do nothing to alleviate the suffering. On
the whole its an all round desolating story (one small interesting detail.
Halabja is outside the zone 'protected' by the US/British air forces.)]
*  Iraq Turns Up Heat on Ethnic Kurds, Non-Arabs in Kirkuk [The arrival in
the autonomous zone of large numbers of Kurds apparently expelled from the
Kirkuk region is one of the more serious and verifiable charges that can be
made against Saddam Hussein - though John Sweeney wasn't very interested in
it. In this particular article the effect is a little weakened by a young
Turkoman who seems to be fleeing 'one or two years' military service. Much
as one might sympathise with him on a personal basis, that's what military
service was until recently in France. The fact that in the Iraqi army he
risks being killed is more the fault of those (who include the author of the
article) who want to wage war on Iraq. And the way things are going he
probably doesn't have a lot of advantage going to the autonomous zone.]


AND, IN NEWS, 29/6-6/7/02 (2)

IRAQI/MIDDLE EAST-ARAB WORLD RELATIONS

*  Iranian pilgrims to Iraq have doubled to 7,000 a week
*  Jordan denies the existence of American forces to strike Iraq
*  U.S. buildup in Qatar may foreshadow Iraq attack
*  Two American secret military bases in Qatar [Arab report in rather
imperfect English emphasising Qatari anxiety that their treachery should be
kept secret]
*  Al-Sharq al-Awsat: the next war against Syria [Prospects for an imminent
Israeli attack against Syria, possibly under cover of the US war against
Iraq.]
*  Iraq grants Turkish companies oil contracts

URLs ONLY:
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/A10739-2002Jul1.html
*   Arab Report Cites Development Obstacles
by Karen DeYoung
Washington Post, 2nd July
[UN report written by Arabs says Arabs are backward. Still too much interest
in matters other than making money.]

http://www.dailystar.com.lb/features/01_07_02_a.htm
*  A way of seeing - book takes look at Arab visual culture
by Jim Quilty
Daily Star, Lebanon, 1st July
[Book on Arab photography - an art form whose very existence shows how far
the Arab peoples have fallen since the days when any sort of illusionistic
copy of the external appearances of nature was regarded with contempt, and
calligraphy was recognised as among the highest forms of human activity.]

NEW WORLD ORDER

*  Policy goes too far to combat terrorism [At last someone - in this case
an editorial in the Atlanta Constitution - has noticed that by the standards
now being proclaimed by Mr Bush: 'Japan's attack on Pearl Harbor could be
considered a justified pre emptive strike ...' Only quibble I have is with
the reference to 'our newly aggressive approach.' How long is it since the
US has waged a war that could by any stretch of the imagination be termed
'defensive'?]
*  World exclusive interview: George Michael [Long article from the Daily
Mirror (was it all really published) which was, it appears, behind
G.Michael's recent decision to enter into political, um, debate. Michael's
main anxiety appears to be that Britain might get attacked, not that we
might kill a lot of people He gives the impression of wanting to appease the
terrorists to prevent another September 11th on his doorstep. It really
isn't true to say that 'Britain's the second most dangerous place on earth
right now' - presumably after the US, but Israel/Palestine, Afghanistan,
Somalia , Kashmir etc are still more dangerous than either of them. Only a
short extract dealing with Iraq is given here (and again, anxiety about what
Saddam Hussein might do if cornered prevails over anxiety as to what we
might do to Iraq.)]
*  Rise of a new imperialism [Extract from a new book by John Pilger. He
suggests that the new imperialists are losing any inhibitions they may ever
have had about behaving like the old imperialists. But he does suggest that
they are still inhibited about the name, 'imperialist'. Has he not read the
recent pieces by old Foreign Office hand, Robert Cooper?]
*  U.S. Is Right to Spurn Int'l Criminal Court [The New York Daily News
opposes the International Criminal Court on the grounds that Americans could
be subjected to the jurisdiction of a bunch of wogs from worthless places
like Lesotho. The paper fears that 'If the court had existed before now,
President Bush, Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld and Secretary of State
Powell might be dodging subpoenas. The U.S., after all, has killed civilians
in Afghanistan.' And they may be right. All the court's defenders are
assuring us that the US has nothing to fear but if it can't prevent what the
US did in Afghanistan then surely it isn't worth having.]
*  Liberty Mutual fined for Iraqi dealings
*  The rogue State [John Pilger attacks the US - mainly on Afghanistan -
from the pages of the Daily Mirror. Piers Morgan's commitment to this sort
of thing is heartening but it still needs some sort of effective embodiment
in politics, outside the Labour Party 'usual suspects' group. Are Morgan and
the Labour group willing to organise a real opposition (and could they do it
without getting nobbled by the SWP?)]

URLs ONLY:
http://www.cleveland.com/world/plaindealer/index.ssf?/xml/story.ssf/html_sta
ndard.xsl?/base/news/102542968797940.xml
*  Experts fear crude bomb could be built
by Charles J. Hanley
The Plain Dealer (Cleveland), 30th June
[Scary thoughts on the possible proliferation of nuclear materials. But
worried as the Americans might be they don't appear to be that worried: 'The
IAEA's advocates, meanwhile, say it's time the U.N. watchdog agency's budget
- long frozen because of Washington's anti-U.N. sentiment - be increased.']

http://www.boston.com/dailyglobe2/181/focus/We_ll_strike_first+.shtml
*  We'll strike first
by Robert Schlesinger, 6/30/2002
Boston Globe, 30th June
[Reflections on the rights and wrongs of pre-emptive strikes. Problem of
arguing why, with the removal of the only serious competing power, one has
to become more, not less, aggressive.]

http://allafrica.com/stories/200207010293.html
*  Bridging The Dangerous Gap Between The West And The Muslim World
by Paul Wolfowitz
Weekly Trust (Kaduna, Africa), 1st July
[Second part of a long semi-philosophical reflection by Paul Wolfowitz on
the difference between good Muslims (willing to recognise Israel) and bad
ones (terrorists). But he doesn't seem to have explored the question very
far: 'Strikingly, by the way, even in a portion of Iraq -in the
Kurdish-controlled areas in the North  we see an example of the kind of
self-government Muslims can achieve. There, beyond the reach of the Baghdad
regime, the people are healthy and they enjoy a level of prosperity that far
surpasses the rest of Iraq.' This is something of an exaggeration but
assuming we concede the case we may well wonder: if the Kurds can do so well
left to their own devices why isn't Mr Wolfowitz supporting their autonomy
vis a vis Turkey?]

http://www.guardian.co.uk/leaders/story/0,3604,747559,00.html
*  Contempt of court
The Guardian, 2nd July
[The Guardian waxes indignant about US refusal to countenance the
International Criminal Court. But so far as I can see they've missed the
point. They think the ICC is an extension of the kangaroo courts set up for
ex-Yugoslavia and Rwanda. It isn't. These were responsible to the United
Nations Security Council, which is controlled at least negatively by the US
(it might not do everything the US wants but it won't do anything the US
doesn't want). The US was NEVER going to support an international court not
under its control. This is nothing to do with 'the suspicious, slab-sided
rightwing psyche that informs and so badly skewers Bush administration
attitudes to most international issues'. Clinton would have (in fact we are
told he did) come to the same conclusion. In refusing the ICC the US is
consistent with itself. In backing a court which will do its political will
it is acting consistently with itself. In backing a US controlled court and
pretending it has international legitimacy (the ex Yugoslavia Tribunal) the
Guardian is merely acting consistently with its own delusions of moral
grandeur.]

http://cgi.worldnews.com/?action=display&article=14457633&template=worldnews
/search.txt&index=recent
*  Cos. Pay Gov't Millions in Fines
The Associated Press, 3rd July
[Fines for breaking US imposed sanctions on Afghanistan and Cuba]

http://dailynews.yahoo.com/h/laweekly/20020703/lo/36259_1.html
*  The Last Defender of the American Republic?: An interview with Gore Vidal
by Marc Cooper
Yahoo (from Los Angeles Weekly), 3rd July
[What makes Gore Vidal particularly interesting is that he represents a
substantial American political tradition - isolationism - which probably
corresponds to the instincts of many if not most of the US population but
which has almost no political expression, except perhaps on the extreme
fringes of the extreme right. Which helps to explain Vidal's sympathetic
interest in Timothy McVeigh: 'And when it comes to Oklahoma City and Tim
McVeigh, well, he had his reasons as well to carry out his dirty deed.
Millions of Americans agree with his general reasoning, though no one, I
think, agrees with the value of blowing up children. ... The whole Patriot
movement in the U.S. was based on folks run off their family farms. Or had
their parents or grandparents run off. We have millions of disaffected
American citizens who do not like the way the place is run and see no place
in it where they can prosper. They can be slaves. Or pick cotton. Or
whatever the latest uncomfortable thing there is to do. But they are not
going to have, as Richard Nixon said, "a piece of the action." The article
is long and not much about Iraq so I'm not giving it but its worth having a
look at.]

http://www.bloomberg.com/fgcgi.cgi?ptitle=Top%20Financial%20News&s1=blk&tp=a
d_topright_topfin&T=markets_bfgcgi_content99.ht&s2=ad_right1_topfin&bt=ad_po
sition1_topfin&middle=ad_frame2_topfin&s=APSQ54xXXSXJhbiBC
*  Iran Bond Attracts European Banks Ignoring `Evil' Tag (Update2)
by Gavin Serkin
Bloomberg.com. 4th July
'Iran's first foreign bond sale since the Islamic revolution of 1979 is
attracting interest from Deutsche Bank AG, Pictet & Cie and other banks who
aren't put off by its place in U.S. President George W. Bush's ``axis of
evil.''' The article includes the following curious little tidbit of
information: 'Colm McDonagh, who helps manage $110 million for Aberdeen
Asset Management, has about half of his $13 million Exotic Debt Fund
invested in Iraqi and North Korean debt, on expectations the loans will be
repaid if Saddam Hussein is ousted or the two Koreas reunite. The fund has
gained 24 percent this year after dropping by the same percentage in 2001.
"It's toxic stuff, but when it moves, it really moves,'' McDonagh said. "All
we need is one of these countries to happen and our holdings will
sky-rocket.'' ' By 'happen' I think he means 'get bombed to pieces' (am I
wrong to be reminded of Gogol's novel 'Dead Souls'?)]

http://www.nzherald.co.nz/storydisplay.cfm?storyID=2050431&thesection=news&t
hesubsection=dialogue
*  Deformed US foreign policy obsessed with terrorism
by Gwynne Dyer
New Zealand Herald, 5th July
[Article notable for the following rather witty sentence: 'The average
person's grasp of risk factors is so poor that it's commonplace to meet
cigarette smokers who worry about terrorism.' Also for reminding us of the
existence of Ha'aretz as an effective centre for Israeli opposition to the
Sharon/Bush perspective.]

http://www.dailystarnews.com/200207/06/n2070609.htm#BODY3
*  Arabs and Red-Indians: Brothers in fate!
by Yamin Zakaria
Daily Star (Bangla Desh), 6th July
[Quite exhilarating piece of Muslim, anti-'Judaeo-Christian' propaganda. But
it may be remarked that, although many 'Christians' have been won over to
the view that Israel is the homeland for 'the Jews' this is not the
Christian position, which is that it is now the Christians who are 'the
Jews', heirs to the Biblical promises. The people who call themselves Jews
are the people who have betrayed their destiny as Jews by failing to
recognise the Messiah. Far from supporting the Jewish claim to Jerusalem for
religious reasons, Christians should be reasserting their own claim to
Jerusalem, for religious reasons. That would throw a spanner in the works
...]

http://www.iht.com/articles/63613.html
*  Changing the Arab world will take people power
by David Ignatius
International Herald Tribune (from Washington Post), 6th July
[An amazing piece of prose which turns President Bush's recent speech into
an expression of concern for the wellbeing of the Palestinian people.
Ignatius goes on to argue that though bombs will certainly be necessary to
introduce democracy in Arab lands, a bit of funding of dissident movements
might not be a bad idea as well].


AND, IN NEWS, 29/6-6/7/02 (3)

OIL

*  GCC states take $20b oil price hit
*  BAGHDAD: Iraq ups West Qorna output
*  Iraq to drill wildcats

IRAQI OPPOSITION

*  Iraq rebels oppose U.S strike to topple govt-paper [The Supreme Council
for the Islamic Revolution in Iraq, who appeared a few months ago to be
toying with supporting the Americans, are beginning to figure out what an
American occupation might mean. Not great for champions of the Islamic
Revolution ...]
*  Iraqi exiles dream of toppling Hussein [On the newly formed Iraqi
National Movement, the sons of privilege in Iraq wanting their privileges
back. But given that they openly support a US invasion of their country why
should the Syrians be offering them a base in Damascus?]

IRAQIS OUTSIDE IRAQ

*  Activists accused of 'dumping' asylum-seekers in the desert [in the
Woomera breakout]
*  Officials: Saddam's stepson admits mistake over US visa

POLICING THE BLOCKADE

*  U.S. Bombs Iraqi Defense System

PROSPECTS FOR WAR

*  US has plan to kill Saddam, says Iraqi opposition leader
*  Time to deploy a large American military force [Jim Hoagland argues for a
massive US military presence permanently installed in Iraq as the best
recipe for solving the Israel/Palestinian confrontation. The core of his
thesis is that once the Arabs get democracy, they will be happy to recognise
the state of Israel. He doesn't quite explain how he makes the connection
but we suspect the massive US military presence might have something to do
with it (what is behind all this is probably the notion that the Arab world
can be remodelled like the Japanese and Germans at the end of the 1939-45
war).]
*  Failure of other efforts led U.S. to plan war on Saddam [The article
turns round the following interesting paragraph: 'The evidence that Saddam
still possesses such weapons remains murky - particularly in the view of
America's European allies, most of whom have argued against a new war on
Iraq. In the United States and its principal Middle East ally, Israel,
however, a number of senior officials - including Prime Minister Ariel
Sharon and former Prime Minister Ehud Barak - believe that a post-Saddam
Iraq could be fashioned into some form of democracy.' Interesting because it
begins with an important fact that is rarely acknowledged - the near total
absence of any evidence that Iraq has access, or is even seeking access - to
weapons of mass destruction. But then, with a 'however', the paragraph
changes subjects. The US and Ariel Sharon (!) think Iraq could become
'democratic'. The next paragraph tells us what the word 'democratic' means.
Iraq is to be conquered and thousands of Iraqis killed in order to 'secure
Israel's eastern flank'. The sentence also reveals what the word 'terrorism'
means ­ willingness to support Palestinian opposition to the Israeli
occupation of Palestine. A later paragraph tells us that 'They [Kurdish
leaders] also want Kurdish cities protected from the kind of onslaught that
Saddam unleashed during the Clinton administration's failed attempt to
dislodge the Iraqi leader. The failure forced the CIA to evacuate partisans
from Iraq at a cost of more than $100 million, according to administration
officials.' My understanding is that the 'partisans', insofar as they were
Iraqi, were left behind and killed. It was the Americans who were lifted
out. And as always the author forgets that the Iraqi army was invited in by
the KDP in order to prevent a combined Iranian/PUK takeover of the
territory.]

URLs ONLY:
http://www.nypost.com/postopinion/opedcolumnists/51466.htm
*  TO INVADE IRAQ:, SEND IN THE 'EXPERTS'!
by Ralph Peters
New York Post, 1st July
[Tough talkin' case, published in the New York Post, for stomping on Saddam
Hussein with massive force: 'First, that sucker needs to go down, and he
needs to go down ugly. The world needs to see pain on his decomposing snout
so that all the other scumbag dictators in the Middle East and elsewhere get
the message that the gringos are back in the game and feeling mean. Bring
down one dictator, and the next 10 will think twice before they mess with
Uncle Sugar and the Stars and Stripes. That's real pre-emption.' Want to
read any more?]

http://www.nytimes.com/2002/07/05/international/middleeast/05IRAQ.html
*  U.S. Plan for Iraq Is Said to Include Attack on 3 Sides
by ERIC SCHMITT
New York Times, 5th July
[This has achieved some publicity but I don't see anything in it we haven't
had before. With the administration constantly talking up the need for
regime change it is hardly surprising that the Pentagon is drawing up all
sorts of plans, but, as the article says: 'Nothing in the Central Command
document or in interviews with senior military officials suggests that an
attack on Iraq is imminent.' In fact it appears that the document has been
leaked by someone (I wonder can we guess who. Would the name begin with D,
by any chance?) who is dissatisfied with the present state of preparations
for war.]

IRAQI/UN RELATIONS

*  UN: United Nations Compensation Commission approves awards of USD4.9Bn
for compensation [The absurdity of the figures cited in this article is
staggering. Note the website address: www.uncc.ch (when I tried it it
worked, but became www.unog.ch/uncc/]
*  UN deal leaves Iraq's Kurds at mercy of Baghdad [This is a rather more
detailed version of the charge levelled by John Sweeney that Baghdad
prevents the flow of essential supplies to the Kurdish north. What is
surprising is that no-one (least of all Sweeney) seems to be making the
obvious point that the Kurdish autonomous zone, supposedly outside the
administration of the wicked Baghdadis, shouldn't be subject to sanctions at
all, or at least should be supplied directly and not through UN agencies
based in Baghdad. One can only guess that the obstacle is Turkey, but are
the Turks so mighty that they can prevent the question even being
discussed?]
*  Iraq, UN fail to agree on arms inspections



News titles, 6-13/7/02

The mailing this week is huge and I apologise for this, especially since
most of it seems to me to be a lot of fluff produced with the intention of
accustoming us to the idea that war is inevitable. Among British papers, The
Times and, more surprisingly, the Financial Times have been particularly
guilty in this respect, though let us not forget the unstinting efforts of
The Observer. Without wishing to encourage complacency on the list, however,
I still don't see how an attack can be launched without the collaboration of
a land neighbour. And all the neighbours, including Kuwait, have refused in
terms that make it difficult to see how they could be induced to change
their minds.

Turkey of course remains a possibility. But to attack from Turkey requires
the co-operation of the Kurds and they, for the moment, are not being very
co-operative. It is easy to see the problem. The Turks will only co-operate
on terms that are unacceptable to the Kurds and the Kurds will only
co-operate on terms that are unacceptable to the Turks. A problem that could
only be handled with great finesse - a quality lacking in the present US
administration.

The only sense I can make of the current media campaign is the hope that a
jittery Iraq will do something foolish (a possibility mooted in an article
by Rupert Cornwell - 'America rattles Saddam's cage ...' given below as a
URL Only under 'Criminal Conspiracies'). For the moment, however, the Iraqi
government's handling of the situation seems to be superb. They're just
continuing to use what resources they have at their disposal to increase the
links with the world which they were developing before it all started (see
the 'Middle East' and 'International' sections below. See especially my
favourite article in what follows: '26 Iranian Wrestlers, Coaches Depart for
Iraq').

That having been said, a very likely consequence of the current US/British/
Iraqi exile warmongering is intensified internal repression. By the time the
invasion starts, if it starts, a lot of potential leaders within Iraq will
most likely be dead. But perhaps the US and Iraqi exile warmongers won't
think that's a bad thing (we remember Stalin holding back to allow Hitler to
deal with the Polish resistance ...).

If the war did get underway it could presumably be won quite quickly
(difficult as it is to admit, we would have to hope for that. The quicker it
takes, the fewer people the US will massacre). This is on the assumption
that the Iraqi government has very little in the way of weaponry, never mind
weapons of mass destruction. Embarrassing situation for Mr Bush: the
justification for the war is the possibility that Iraq is acquiring weapons
of mass destruction. But fear of what Saddam might do with his weapons of
mass destruction if cornered is one of the main arguments being used against
the war. Leading to a secondary, perhaps stronger, argument. The blockade
can't last forever. As it crumbles, as it is doing, Saddam's ability to get
hold of WMDs will increase. And since it is clear that they have deterrent
power (otherwise what would be our justification for having them?) he has
every interest in acquiring them. Therefore he should be toppled now, before
he gets them.

Our position in all this presents some difficulties. In general we argue
that Saddam can't have much in the way of weapons of mass destruction
because the blockade has been so effective. But this amounts to an argument
in favour of the blockade (if, despite the blockade, he is armed to the
teeth as the Jim Hoaglands of this world would have us believe, then the
absurd criminality of the blockade is only made all the more evident). If
the blockade is lifted, as we want it to be, the opportunities for President
Hussein to acquire such weapons will be greatly enhanced. We have to be able
to argue that this would not pose a serious threat to the security of the
world.

And one of the articles below, from the International Herald Tribune of all
places, actually does argue this ('Take a better route to regime change'
under 'Efforts at crime prevention'). It really isn't all that difficult.
Though we are constantly reminded that President Hussein has used chemical
weapons in the past we are not so often reminded that he only used them in
very extreme circumstances when the continued existence of Iraq was in
jeopardy. How would the rest of us have reacted if Iraq had been overrun by
the Islamic hordes of Iran, still under the leadership of the Ayatollah
Khomeini? And how would Ariel Sharon, the well known 'man of peace', have
reacted if he found himself in a similar position?

If Saddam manages to work his country out of its 'cage' he will be a very
happy man and it is most unlikely that he will embark on new adventures. A
war against Israel? Far be it from me to justify Israel's possession of
nuclear submarines but the fact is that they make an outright war against
Israel very unlikely.

This still leaves one argument in the enemy's arsenal: that a powerful,
well-armed state could, discreetly, give help to freelance (ie non-state
based) 'terrorists'. But what is said about a powerful, well-armed state
could equally be said about powerful and rich individuals. The US attempt to
cut off the sources of terrorism logically leads to the refusal to allow the
continued existence of any powerful, disaffected person or group of persons.
It is an absurd and impossible struggle. If disaffection is the enemy it
would surely be easier to stop acting in such a way as to provoke
disaffection. Some Americans in high places are beginning to say that. Will
they ever be listened to?

 

News, 6-13/7/02 (1)

CRIMINAL CONSPIRACIES

*   UK to send 30,000 to help oust Saddam [This is the article Mil Rai
interprets as an inspired leak that reveals when the war will begin (Spring
2003). It ends with the remark that: "Justifying any attack would not be a
problem because the evidence exists that he has weapons of mass destruction.
It will not be made public yet because it would compromise the means by
which it was acquired." Judging from the scepticism of other European
leaders it seems that this information isn't even being shared with them,
never mind the general public.]
*  Bush to use 'all tools' for ousting Saddam [Despite the headline, the
substance of Bush's remarks - though perhaps this isn't the best account -
seems to me to be putting off the evil day rather than bringing it on.]
*  Barak warns Iraq, Iran next targets in terror war [Inviting Ehud Barak to
an 'anti-terror' conference is a bit like inviting Josef Goebbels to a
conference on freedom of the press. And how could anyone imagine that the
man who talks so blandly about massacring the inhabitants of two of his
neighbours is a serious interlocutor for peace? And why should the Agence
France Presse, never mind IranMania, allow itself to publish the following
monstrous sentence: 'Barak was pushed out of office by Prime Minister Ariel
Sharon after Palestinian leader Yasser Arafat rejected a peace deal proposed
by Barak and then president Bill Clinton at Camp David in July 1999,
sparking off renewed Palestinian unrest in Israel.']
*  US questions Iraq offer on MIA [US refuses Iraq's offer of a full public
inquiry in the presence of impartial witnesses and the media, into the Scott
Speicher case.]

URLs ONLY:
http://www.theage.com.au/articles/2002/07/12/1026185108444.html
*  West's agents stir strife in Iraq
by Toby Harnden
The Age (Australia), 13th July
[This is only notable for the headline. Otherwise it reads like a drunken
conversation with a low level civil servant in a bar. But perhaps this
sentence should be retained: 'A lot of other European countries don't see
the same threat because we don't share intelligence with them," he said.' So
much for the EEC (and frankly the notion that British intelligence is better
than the German BND at fabricating evidence for weapons of mass destruction
is ludicrous)]

http://news.scotsman.com/uk.cfm?id=751622002
*  British secret services on the ground in Iraq
The Scotsman, 12th July
[More of the same. Might have expected better of The Scotsman.]

http://www.thisislondon.co.uk/dynamic/news/story.html?in_review_id=638616&in
_review_text_id=609237
*  British 'to support Iraq invasion'
by Patrick Hennessy and Colin Adamson
London Evening Standard, 12th July
[More of the same]

http://news.independent.co.uk/world/middle_east/story.jsp?story=314570
*  America rattles Saddam's cage hoping he will lash out in anger
by Rupert Cornwell
Independent, 13th July
[The article begins with some mockery of the current spate of sabre-rattling
leaks, leading me to think that Rupert Cornwell was not the slavish
mouthpiece of US imperialism that I thought he was. But he quickly falls
back to type.]

NEW WORLD ORDER CRIMES

*  US shelves a study on Iraq abuses [The study in question was compiled
with a view to setting up an international war crimes court like those that
have been established for Rwanda and Yugoslavia. The article claims that the
US government have done a major U turn on the issue. Not only are they
opposed to the ICC (which has some pretence to being out of their control);
they have also turned against the Rwanda and Yugoslav courts though the
latter in particular was a creature of their policy. They say they won't
support it beyond 2008, though the idea that it should continue in existence
that long is perfectly monstrous. The article does not suggest that US
implication in the war crimes attributed to President Hussein (not only
those of 1988 when Mr Hussein was the US's ally, but also those of 1991
which were rendered inevitable by US policy, and carried out under the noses
of the US military) might have something to do with their reluctance to hold
a trial.]
*  In the Killing Fields [Review of Samantha Power's A Problem from Hell.
S.Power is one of those who wants the US to go to war to prevent genocide
but who fail to notice that the US way of making war (massive attack from a
great distance) is itself inherently genocidal. These self righteous
humanitarian warriors succeeded in prolonging the war in Bosnia and all its
attendant horrors for at least five years ending up with a settlement no-one
wants to implement. The review concludes, interestingly and perceptively:
'What we knew of war in 1900 was that 85 percent of its casualties would be
warriors themselves - and only 15 percent civilians. But according to the
latest United Nations figures, by the end of the 20th century, that ratio
had pretty much reversed itself. More than 80 percent of the damage is
collateral. Which, of course, is insane.' One of the main events that helped
bring this about was the massive, genocidal bombing raids on Germany and
Japan at the end of the 1939-45 war. The difference between the good guys
and the bad guys is not as great as the likes of Samantha Power, who thinks
the US has the right to act as judge of the rest of the world, would have us
believe. And, incidentally, the 'age of genocide' was the nineteenth
century, when whole peoples were, literally, wiped out to make way for the
USA, Australia and New Zealand.]
*  U.S. argues need for doing it alone ['"You hear Europeans say Bush is a
cowboy from Texas," said William Wohlforth, an associate professor of
government at Dartmouth. "But when the Europeans were at the top of the
international heap, they were hard-bitten realists about using power ...'
Well, not much to argue with there ...]

CRIMES OF THE TIMES

*  US seeks ways to try Saddam for war crimes [Short article turning round
Indict, surely the most pointless, nauseatingly self righteous political
pressure group in existence in British politics at the present time. A war
crimes trial for the Iraqi Ba'ath leadership can only be a) a pretext for
war if the Ba'ath are still in power or b) (like the infamous Nuremberg
trials) a device for whitewashing the war crimes of the victor in the case
of a successful campaign to overthrow them.]
*  Put a war with Iraq in the diary for January [ The Times argues that an
invasion of Iraq would be very easy and popular with the population of Iraq
(Iraqis, like Afghanis, don't mind seeing their friends and relatives being
blown to pieces by their liberators) despite squeals from the European left.
The author's benign attitude to the Iraqi army and the knowing reference to
'the equilibrium between family clans that is the essence of traditional
Iraqi society' suggests that the article was written after a good lunch with
a member of the Iraqi National Accord.]
*  Iraq building up deadly arsenal, say defectors ['Apart from defectors and
the monitoring of Iraq's known smuggling routes for dual-use components, not
even Americas sophisticated technical intelligence-gathering systems can
uncover what Saddam is really up to.' Could it be because he really isn't up
to very much? Interesting to learn, though, that 'Terence Taylor, a UN
weapons inspector in Iraq for four years up to 1997' is now 'president of
the International Institute for Strategic Studies in Washington'.]
*  Allies remain lukewarm [The Times contemptuously dismisses the opposition
of other powers to a war on Iraq, e.g.: 'US officials hope that the promise
of oil contracts with a successor regime, together with access to the $8
billion that Russia is owed by Iraq, will earn Mr Putin's tacit approval.'
But why should The Times assume that the US has a right to make such
promises on behalf of a 'successor regime.'? What type of creature would be
willing to assume power under such circumstances (but I forgot. there are
70-90 of them meeting in London at the present time ...]
*  Iraqi sites for bio-war revealed by defector [Adnan Saeed al-Haideri, who
claims to have replastered walls in underground installations which might
have served for the manufacture of chemical and biological weapons, is here
represented as being the 'least talked about defector since the Gulf War',
which is a bit unkind on the writers who produced the bumper crop of
articles on him around December/January. Three of them can be found in News,
13 22/12/01 (1). From these earlier articles we learn that the 'former
weapons inspector' quoted here was Richard Butler.]

URL ONLY:
http://www.timesonline.co.uk/article/0,,3-352781,00.html
*  Dictator alerts depleted forces
by Richard Beeston
The Times, 11th July
[Iraqi government attempts to marshal its defenses under difficult
circumstances. An important subject but one doesn't get the impression the
author of the article knows much more about it than you or I.]


AND, IN NEWS, 6-13/7/02 (2)

CRIMES OF THE FINANCIAL TIMES

*  Saddam's vicious circle [This article argues that, without chemical
weapons, Iraq would probably have gone under to Iran. Given that the author
of the article, presumably, would not have wished Iraq to be taken over by
the Iran, does this not provide a justification for Iraq's use of chemical
weapons?]
*  Iraq 'seeks Ukraine arms links' [Considering how important it is for the
war-mongers we get surprisingly few stories about Iraq seeking arms (though
we may assume that any country that has to face the sort of threats Iraq is
facing at the present time will seek arms). This story comes from a very
tainted source (Timothy McCarthy, a former United Nations weapons inspector)
and proves very little, certainly very little on the subject of WMDs. So why
is the Financial Times, of all papers, lending itself to this sort of thing?
See also 'Kiev Denies Iraq Arms Sales Report' in the International section
below.]
*  Absence of weapons inspectors helps Iraq keep its secrets [This article
begins by making an incredibly ignorant and irresponsible confusion between
Unscom (the US spying enterprise) and the IAEA (the international body
charged with regulating the flow of nuclear material in the world. A body
which, we learned last week, is being deliberately sabotaged by US
underfunding): 'By 1998, the IAEA had destroyed facilities and removed from
Iraq weapons-grade nuclear material. But in 1998, the inspectors were
expelled ...' It took four leading FT journalists to write those two
sentences, As we know, of course, the IAEA is still present in Iraq; it was
only the spies who were expelled. (NOTE 2003. I should of course have known
better than to write blandly that they had been expelled. My error in this
respect was due to the fact that I always thought they should have been
expelled. But in fact they were withdrawn to facilitate Desert Fox. And
then, quite justifiably, they weren't allowed back again) The rest of the
article comes from unnamed 'experts' and 'officials' and, of course, Unscom.
It includes the following: 'UK officials say that if Iraq were no longer
subject to UN sanctions, it could produce a nuclear weapon within five
years.' My memory is that this was a 'calculation' - probably made on the
back of a packet of Woodbines, to coin a phrase - made by the German BND,
the ones who brought us the wholly fictitious 'Operation Horseshoe' as
justification for the war against Serbia. The article doesn't amount to an
argument for war, but it is still poison because it is an argument for
maintaining sanctions.]
*  Iraq talk fuelled by Kosovo pull-out
*  No plans to attack Iraq, says Downing Street [It appears from this that
the much vaunted reduction of British troops in Kosovo was announced a month
ago.]

WIDE ANGLE CRIMES

*  Documentary says al Qaeda gunmen in Iraq [The documentary in question is
the first in the 'Wide Angle' series to be hosted by our old enemy, James
Rubin, Clinton's resident warmonger, doubtless trying to find a niche for
himself in the current order of things. The list has been alerted to this by
Roger Van Stroope and Drew Hamre.]
*  Officials: 'No evidence' defector saw bin Laden in Iraq [The 'Wide Angle'
programme. One may wonder why the CIA is so reticent about
al-Qaida/S.Hussein links. Given the record, it can hardly be a
straightforward concern for the truth, can it?]
*  We all can see what Saddam is [Jim Hoagland on the 'Wide Angle'
programme. He sees the suffering inflicted by Saddam Hussein on the Kurds,
but fails to see the suffering inflicted by G.Bush on the Iraqis. He fails
to see that when he looks at S.Hussein, he is looking in a mirror.]

CRIME AGAINST JORDAN

*  US 'To attack Iraq via Jordan' [It seems absurd to imagine that the
Jordanian government could survive if it engaged in the contemptible piece
of treachery attributed to it in this clearly malicious article. One would
be tempted to put this down to Iraqi exile wishful thinking (and to despise
the Amman based Iraqi National Accord accordingly). But could it be that
this and its fellow articles on the same lines are designed to provoke the
only circumstances in which the Jordanian government might be able to
co-operate in this way - an Iraqi pre-emptive strike on Jordan? Either way,
savour the wonderful insouciance with which the Observer journalists (it
took three of them to put this together!) can pen a sentence such as the
following: 'The US has apparently given Jordan and other Arab states the
freedom to pay lip-service to support for Iraq.']
*  Jordan to let US troops use bases for war on Iraq [Article which could
have been included among the 'Crimes of the Times. Despite the headline,
what is being referred to is 'a US manned radar station and American search
and rescue teams to operate out of the country to pick up US pilots.' Which
although disgusting enough (but Jordan is a US dependant. ie it is not a
free and sovereign country) is not quite the same thing.]
*  Jordan denies US Iraq reports [This comes from Abdullah's uncle, Prince
Hassan, a man of integrity who argued strongly for a peaceful solution to
the crisis of 1990/91]
*  U.S. considers Jordan as a base for staging attacks on Iraq [The New York
Times has a more intelligent idea than The Observer of the difference
between what the US might 'consider' and what Jordan could deliver.]
*  Talk of war puts Arabs on same wavelength [Fine piece by Suzanne
Goldenberg on how the Jordanian population see news reports on the
possibility that Jordan will be used to launch the war.]


AND IN NEWS, 6-13/7/02 (3)

EFFORTS AT CRIME PREVENTION

*  Still a bad idea / A leaked plan for a possible attack on Iraq [The
Pittsburgh Post-Gazette comes out against an attack on Iraq on the grounds
that no-one would support it except the US and Israel (Britain, quite
reasonably slipped their minds). Splendid as this is, the article does
contain an example of the misconceptions that are around when it says the
following: 'Saudi Arabia opened its border with Iraq -- closed since 1990 --
to normal trade in late May.' Normal trade? When Iraq can't export anything
except oil and everything it imports has to be approved by its enemies?]
*  The Iraqi mutiny [This is a witty summing up of the absurdity of the
present plans for invasion and of the embarrassments of the position in
which G.Bush has placed himself. Only quibble I have is with the following:
'Curiously enough, as things stand, Bush's Iraq policy is doing fine. We
have not had a cheep out of Saddam since September 11. Having specifically
rejected a policy of containment, the president is actually executing a
remarkably successful one.' So far as I can see, Saddam Hussein's behaviour
(shooting at planes that illegally violate Iraqi airspace and supporting
Palestinian opposition to the illegal occupation of their land) hasn't
changed at all under the pressure of all the US sabre rattling.]
*  Bush plan to invade Iraq challenged by senators [Another sign that, after
September 11, elements of intelligence are beginning to resurface in US
mainstream politics.]
*  We need to talk about the war on Iraq before it begins [I am not one of
Hugo Young's admirers but this is quite good on the absurdity of T.Blair's
rely to the question of whether or not Britain would support a war on Iraq:
"I suggest we have that discussion when the decisions are actually about to
be taken."]
*  Take a better route to regime change [Article in the International Herald
Tribune arguing that regime change can be effected by lifting sanctions and
allowing the Iraqi people to do it themselves. The author acknowledges that
this might allow Saddam Hussein access to some heavy weaponry but he
wouldn't be able to use it because he knows what the consequences would be -
and, it might be added, he would have something to lose. A little glimmer of
common sense in a sea of nonsense.]
*  Iraq visit shows weapon sites 'destroyed' [Von Sponeck on his visits to
places the US claimed were producing chemical weapons: 'he first went to the
Al-Dora plant on the outskirts of Baghdad, which used to produce vaccines
for foot-and-mouth disease but was destroyed by U.N. weapons inspectors
...'. The piece comes from CNN. Am I alone in beginning to feel twinges of
admiration for CNN, especially as Rupert Murdoch's Fox News Agency
increasingly is creeping up on us?]

URLs ONLY:
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/A31285-2002Jul6.html
*  Why Don't We Listen Anymore?
by Clyde Prestowitz
Washington Post, 7th July
[Long, thoughtful article about European and far eastern perceptions of the
US. The conclusion (not stated quite so bluntly) is that if the US wants to
rule the world it should allow other parts of the world at least an
appearance of input into its policy making.]

http://news.ft.com/servlet/ContentServer?pagename=FT.com/StoryFT/FullStory&c
=StoryFT&cid=1025793456613&p=1012571727162
*  The hard road to Baghdad
by Michael O'Hanlon
Financial Times, 10th July
[A senior fellow at the Brookings Institution points out some of the
difficulties of an invasion of Iraq.]

http://www.guardian.co.uk/leaders/story/0,3604,754485,00.html
*  Sleepwalking to war
The Guardian (Leader), 13th July
[The Guardian is getting worried and suggests we should have a serious
debate.]

FARRAKHAN'S VISIT

*  Farrakhan warns against U.S. attack on Iraq [Louis Farrakhan's visit to
Iraq. It may be embarrassing to admit it but on this occasion, Farrakhan has
said exactly what needs to be said: '"This delegation believes that if the
American people really understood and knew the horror of sanctions and what
these sanctions have produced -- of suffering among the Iraqi people -- that
the American people would rise up against such a policy," he said.' Perhaps
another million man march might do the trick?]
*  He may be banned from entering Britain, but he's going to save the world
*  Farrakhan denies 'Iraqi victory' quote

TERRORIST CONSPIRACIES [This heading for, among other things, the London
conference of members of Saddam's military machine is justified by most of
what has been written on the subject. Nonetheless, the article 'Ex-Iraq
Officers, Groups Talk Saddam' provides some grounds for second thoughts on
the matter.]

*  Iraqi opposition to form military council to fill post-Saddam  vacuum -
report.
[This military council is, it appears, quite separate from the meeting of
Iraqi officers in London being held under the auspices of 'the Iraqi
Coalition', a recently formed body. Nor, apparently, is it to be confused
with the 'Iraqi National Accord', the body which, we are told, also
represents exiled elements of the Iraqi army and which, according to The
Observer, intends to march up the road to Baghdad (most probably in the
baggage train of the US army). Its all one terrible mess. But is there any
part of the Iraqi 'opposition' which has the elementary decency to refuse
any co-operation with the torturers of the Iraqi people? Yes, there is.
There is the Iraqi Communist Party. And there is the Supreme Council for the
Islamic Revolution in Iraq.]
*  Exiled generals prepare for march on Baghdad ['One Western source said:
"One of the biggest problems faced by the opposition is the danger of making
a pact with the Devil."' "'The devil" referred to here is the Iraqi army.
But these are people who may have sold their souls to a worse devil than
that ...]
*  Iraqi dissident spells out his post-Saddam policy on oil [Assuming that a
post Saddam Iraq will see free and fair elections (let's just pretend to
assume that for a moment) why should Ahmed Chalabi think he will be in a
position to dictate oil policy. Especially since elsewhere ('Iraqi exiles
plot Saddam's fall') he tells us 'My job will end with the liberation of
Iraq'.] 
*  Magnificent Seventy gun for Saddam [The article ends with a brief rundown
of opposition groups. the Iraqi Communist Party is mentioned but no more.
The article claims that the main item on the programme for the 'Iraqi
Military Alliance' (not the Iraqi National Coalition?) is a resolution that
the military will not take power but will hand over to a civilian
government.]
*  Ex-Iraq Officers, Groups Talk Saddam [Here they've become the Iraqi
National Coalition Military Alliance. Some credibility is bestowed upon them
by the presence of Prince Hassan of Jordan; and of course by the fact (if it
is true) that they're not being funded by the US. The hypothesis should be
considered that they are simply a group of Iraqi army people meeting to
discuss the very real problem of how Iraq can be saved from chaos in the
event of a US attack on their country. Simply that and not a bunch of people
hoping to get back into Iraq on the back of a US massacre.]
*  Iraqi exiles plot Saddam's fall [This is the article that quotes Ahmed
Chalabi promising not to seek power in the event of the 'liberation' of
Iraq. It remains to be seen.]

INSIDE IRAQ

*  Most staff for U.S. have left Iraqi capital
*  Iraq told to let Polish envoys travel [This explains the previous
article. The problem is that US interests are represented in Baghdad by the
Polish Embassy. So the Iraqis won't allow them to travel overland
(presumably, under present circumstances, to prevent them from spying out
the land). But the US won't allow them to fly, because, they claim, the
flights are in contravention of UN sanctions. Catch 22? They've now all
decided to take a break because they managed to get on a 'legitimate'
humanitarian flight.]
*  Saddam hated, but wins the blame game [Australian Murdoch press
journalist finds that Iraqis in Iraq know perfectly well who is responsible
for their present suffering. He puts this down to the effectiveness of Iraqi
government propaganda.]


AND, IN NEWS, 6-13/7/02 (4)

NORTHERN IRAQ/SOUTHERN KURDISTAN

*  UN deal leaves Iraq Kurds at Baghdad's mercy [Complaints about the system
of administering Oil for Food in the Kurdish Autonomous Zone where it seems
Baghdad treats the Kurds in much the same way that the US treats Baghdad.]
*  Rebel groups reject CIA overtures down on the farm [Interesting account
of the terrible mess of US relations with Iraqi opposition elements, in this
case the Kurds.]
*  Gunfights break out in northern Iraq [PUK/Islamist clashes near Halabja]
*  Kurds draw up post-Saddam constitution for Iraq [But CNN doesn't choose
to tell us very much about it.]
*  Kurdish Leader Talabani in Talks With Saudi Officials: PUK

IRAQI/MIDDLE EASTERN-ARAB WORLD RELATIONS

*  Iraq to Return Kuwaiti Archives Soon
*  Al-Thawra: Third border center between Iraq, Iran
*  26 Iranian Wrestlers, Coaches Depart for Iraq
*  Baghdad, Ankara sign a minute of meetings for joint cooperation [Is this
what you do when you're planning to hand your country over to act as an
aircraft carrier for a superpower about to launch an all-out war of
destruction on your neighbour?]
*  Saudi Arabia to hold trade fair in Iraq in Sept
*  Turkey's struggle for stability
*  Yemen sells Iraqi ships to India
*  Kuwait won't serve as launch pad for US attack on Iraq [But of course the
US want us to believe that their friends and allies are lying through their
teeth.]
*  Wolfowitz to Discuss Iraq in Turkey [The article suggests that in the
present circumstances of Turkish politics W's visit is pretty pointless,
since whoever he is talking to is unlikely to be around for very long.]

 

News, 6-13/7/02 (5)

IRAQI/INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS

*  Iraq's Aziz says US attack would strengthen Saddam [Aziz on visit to
South Africa.]
*  Iraq's Saddam foresees changed US role [Remarks made in the context of
the visit to Iraq of the Indian petroleum minister. Strange the extent to
which life is continuing as normal despite all the bloodcurdling noises
issuing from Mr Bush.]
*  Iraq and India ties warmed by oil deals
*  India eyes Iran, Iraq to lift sagging sugar sales
*  Military action against Iraq inadmissible, says Russia
*  Russian, Jordanian leaders discuss Mideast peace, Iraq
*  Iraq appeals to [South African firm] Eskom to help rebuild power grids
*  Kiev Denies Iraq Arms Sales Report [See 'Iraq 'seeks Ukraine arms links'
under Crimes of the Financial Times, above}
*  Govt Ordered to Repay Loans to Iraq [Is Uganda the only country in the
world where the judiciary is sufficiently independent-minded to find in
favour of Iraq in a dispute between Iraq and its own government? Or is there
something I have misunderstood?]

IRAQI/UN RELATIONS

*  Iraq: UN caving to United States pressure [in reference to Annan and
Blix's refusal to engage in serious negotiations for the return of weapons
inspectors to Iraq.]

OIL MATTERS

*  Iraq says 35 bln bbls oil reserves postponed by sanctions.
*  West sees glittering prizes ahead in giant oilfields [The Times takes it
for granted that after the war the US will control Iraq. i.e., they don't
pay any heed to all the bla about Iraqis being allowed to choose their own
government (a democratic Iraq might surely be expected to feel some
resentment against the power that has inflicted so much suffering on them).
Read this article and then fill up the petrol tank of your car with a clear
conscience, if you can.]

LEST WE FORGET

*  Missiles fired at US, British planes: Iraq

IRAQIS OUTSIDE IRAQ

*  Saddam's Stepson Back in New Zealand

URL ONLY:
http://www.nzherald.co.nz/storydisplay.cfm?storyID=2097427&thesection=news&t
hesubsection=general
*  Quiet engineer's flight to nightmare
by Eugene Bingham and Geoff Cumming
New Zealand Herald, 13th July
[A very long detailed account of the Mohammad Saffi (Saddam's stepson)
incident. Its almost certainly the best account we're ever likely to get but
the issue is really marginal, the article is extraordinarily long, and I'm
at the end of my tether.]

DREARY, UNCLASSIFIABLE NONSENSE

URL ONLY:
http://www2.bostonherald.com/news/international/ap_saddam07102002.htm
*  Saddam was urged early on to seek power and glory, analyst says
Boston Herald (from Associated Press), 10th July
[Psychoanalysis by CIA expert. Utterly predictable and uninteresting. One
can only hope that more high quality thinking is taking place out of the
public gaze. Equally uninteresting remarks are made about Fidel Castro,
Yasser Arafat and Kim Jong Il]